The Notorious returns to the octagon on January 23rd, almost exactly one year since his last appearance. Conor McGregor will take on Dustin Poirier in one of the most anticipated rematches in UFC history. This bout will be the main event of UFC 257, at Yas Island, aka Fight Island, in Abu Dhabi. In the Co-main event, former Bellator Lightweight champion Michael Chandler will finally make his UFC debut, against Dan Hooker. Together with the other scheduled fights, UFC 257 promises to be a bang! You can check here for the full card.
Dustin Poirier vs Conor McGregor 2
Dustin “The Diamond” Poirier vs Conor “Notorious” McGregor is a highly anticipated bout. It’s the rematch of the 2014 showdown which took place at UFC 178. Back then it was a Featherweight bout, this time they will meet in the Lightweight Division. One thing is certain, there’s always tension in the air when the Notorious returns.
McGregor easily won their first encounter by a first-round TKO after 1:46 minutes. This time, however, I’m not sure it will be that easy. Poirier has grown a lot after that fight, which shows on his record. Since the loss against McGregor, he defeated Anthony Pettis, Justin Gaethje, Eddie Alvarez, Max Holloway, and Dan hooker. All major players in the Lightweight division. McGregor however, never looked as sharp as he does now. Although it’s been a year since the last time we saw him in action, he’s always ready to deliver. Let’s see what happens when the Notorious returns. In my opinion, this is a fight that is going to be very hard to predict. The bookies however are highly in favor of McGregor. A bit too high if you ask me.
How to bet on this fight
You can approach this fight in two ways. You can go for the winner, with or without method. Or you can go another way and start betting on other options, like rounds, takedowns, and such.
If you’re going for Poirier, there’s plenty of value in just betting on the win. With the current odds at 3.26 for Poirier to win, there’s a lot of opportunity for a big payout. Adding a method will only increase the odds, but with 3.26, I see no reason to take the risk.
For those on the McGregor side, on the other hand, you might want to approach this fight in another way. McGregor to win is just not worth it with odds of 1.332. Even picking a method doesn’t get you that far, 1.65 for a KO win is as good as it gets. Unless you go for a submission win, but considering both fighter’s styles it’s not likely that will happen. I wouldn’t bet on it, to say the least. McGregor to win in rounds 1-3 gives a little bit more perspective at 1.73. McGregor to win in round 1 will get you 2.9. You might also want to consider McGregor to win in a parlay with another fight.
I think there’s more value in betting on the rounds. I like the odds on “Total rounds under 1.5”, which is currently at 2.07. There’s also great value in “Bout to end in round 1”, with odds of 2.5. For those who think the fight will last a little longer, “Round 3 to start” at 2.1 might be a good one.
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
A “unit” in sports betting is a measurement of the size of someone’s bet. Because everyone has different sized bankrolls for sports betting, using the term unit is a way for us to show your profit or loss in universal terms. For example, someone has a bankroll to bet of 5,000 USD, which is a significant amount, a unit could be 50 USD. If that person would bet for 3 units, he or she is betting 150 USD. If your bankroll is lower, then a unit could be 5 USD.
Our tipster usually work with 1-5 units or sometimes 1-7 units. The 1,2, and 3 unit plays are more of the average plays, while the 4, 5 and sometimes 6 and 7 unit plays are the big plays where the tipster feels they have found a lot of value on a play.
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